Super Computer model rates Newcastle United chances of beating Aston Villa and relegation probability

    Interesting overview of Newcastle United for the season and Wednesday’s match against Aston Villa.

    The super computer model predictions are based on the FiveThirtyEight revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data.

    They have analysed all Premier League matches this midweek, including this game against Villa.

    NFL Betting

    Their computer model gives Aston Villa a 36% chance of a win, it is 27% for a draw and a 37% possibility of a Newcastle win (percentage probabilities rounded up/down to nearest whole number).

    Interesting to see that this computer model, has reacted to the Premier League currently playing matches in empty stadiums, by reducing the home advantage factor by 60% when generating their predictions. Pretty much every European league seeing considerably less home wins since football kicked off again.

    When it comes to winning the title, they have the probability (not surprisingly) at greater than 99% for Liverpool and the rest (including Man City now) nowhere, the scousers 20 points clear with only eight games remaining, despite only drawing at Everton.

    Also interesting to see how the computer model now rates the percentage probability chances of relegation:

    98% Norwich

    75% Villa

    70% Bournemouth

    26% Brighton

    34% West Ham

    18% Watford

    5% Brighton

    They now rate Newcastle United with a less than 1% chance of going down, Steve Bruce’s team 11 points clear of the relegation zone after the win over Sheffield United.

    Source link news

    Related articles



    Please enter your comment!
    Please enter your name here

    Betting on Soccer

    Share article

    Latest articles

    5 options for Mike Ashley to replace if Steve Bruce makes it 2 Newcastle wins in 18 games

    With Steve Bruce on increasingly thinner ice as the days go by, Mike Ashley may soon have a decision forced on...

    Solskjaer talks about Man Utd ‘narrative’ but accepts they need a ‘spark’

    Ole Gunnar Solskjaer knows Manchester United need to rediscover their spark if they are to stop relentless Premier League leaders Manchester City extending their...

    Liverpool prepare the way for Juventus to sign Wijnaldum by identifying replacements

    Liverpool seems to have given up on keeping hold of Juventus target, Georginio Wijnaldum as he refuses to sign a new contract with them.The...

    Mikel Arteta admits Arsenal’s league position is ‘not acceptable’

    Mikel Arteta has branded Arsenal's league position 'not acceptable', with the Gunners currently sitting 10th in the top flight, 10 points off the...
    Betting on Soccer


    Subscribe to stay updated.

    Get all the Soccers update on your hand. Always touch with Soccer